falsify
An event-study harness that enforces pre-registration, so I cannot retroactively clean my own research record.
- Why
- Cheap backtests make it easy to find green equity curves in pure noise. falsify makes every attempt count.
- My role
- Designed the method and built the harness, trial log, and standalone viewer.
- Result
- Every filter that looked strong in exploration has so far flipped sign in confirmation — the discipline is the product.
- Stack
- Python
- polars
- NumPy
- SciPy
- DuckDB-WASM
- Lightweight Charts